A Kadir Jasin gambarkan secara tersirat PH akan kalah teruk di PRN Johor


PETUNJUK AWAL PRN JOHOR


1. Sedikit sebanyak, Pilihan Raya Dewan Undangan Negeri Johor (PRN) sudah mula memberi bayangan mengenai politik nasional menjelang Pilihan Raya Umum Ke-16. 

2. Barisan Nasional (BN) sudah mengotakan slogan "go solo" dengan bertanding di kesemua 56 kerusi DUN negeri itu. 

3. Pakatan Harapan (PH) membalas dengan mencabarnya di setiap kerusi. Ia bertanding 56 kerusi juga. 

4. Maksudnya dua parti Kerajaan Perpaduan Madani itu melakukan "-off" secara total di Johor.

5. Dasar lawan sampai mati ini tidak syak lagi akan menjadikan sebarang kerjasama antara PH dan BN dalam PRU akan datang sangat sukar. 

6. Di pihak lain pula, Pas yang bertanding 11 kerusi  atas nama Perikatan Nasional (PN) menyeru ahli dan penyokong supaya mengundi BN di mana ia tidak meletakkan calon. 

7. Tujuan langkah tersebut adalah menyekat kemenangan calon-calon PH. Nampak seolah-olah setiap parti yang bekerjasama dengan parti pimpinan Anwar, berkesudahan dengan permusuhan sengit.

8. Adakah ini bermakna Pas akan sertai BN bagi menubuhkan kerajaan campuran di Johor jika BN tidak menang cukup kerusi?

9. Kalau ini terjadi, cakap-cakap tentang kerjasama parti-parti Melayu mungkin menjadi kenyataan dan sekali gus memberikan Pas tapak yang lebih luas di Johor, di mana ia tidak begitu berjaya.

10. Nanum tangan persahabatan yang Pas hulurkan itu tidak dapat disambut oleh BN kerana dasar "go solo" dan bertanding di kesemua 56 kerusi. Lagi pun, dinosaur Umno Johor sudah mula memperlekehkan langkah Pas itu.

11. Langkah Pas itu akan memberi tekanan tambahan kepada PH, khususnya PKR dan Amanah. PKR bertanding 20 kerusi dan Amanah 19. DAP bertanding 17. 

12. PKR akan juga diasak, buat pertama kali, oleh parti serpihannya, Bersama, pimpinan Mohd Rafizi Ramli yang bertanding di 15 kawasan. Parti-parti PN bertanding di 33 kawasan. 

13. Kita boleh kata, PRN Johor ini adalah "free-for-all" dengan seramai 172 calon daripada lapan buah parti dan bebas bertanding. 

14. Sebagai perbandingan, dalam PRN 2022, BN menang 40 kerusi dan PH 16. Kerusi BN bertambah 24 manakala PH merosot 14. PH menang 27 kerusi dalam PRN 2018, apalah ia dipimpin oleh Dr Mahathir Mohamad. 

15. Johor sering disebut sebagai negeri kelahiran Umno dan kubu pertahanan terakhir. Kecuali dalam PRU dan PRN 2018 saja Umno kecundang. 

16. Satu faktor tambahan yang sering disebut dan dikhuatiri oleh sesetengah pihak adalah "peranan" Istana dalam politik dan pentadbiran negeri. 

17. Saya mungkin silap, tetapi telah mendapat maklumat yang sangat positif iaitu Istana Johor telah mengambil langkah "memisahkan" diri daripada PRN ini supaya ia berlangsung dalam keadaan bebas dan pihak Istana tidak dipersoalkan. Alhamdulillah. 

18. Kesimpulannya, perkembangan PRN Johor setakat ini dan keputusannya pada 11 Julai nanti akan menjadi pratayang (preview) kepada PRU Ke-16 nanti. 

Terima kasih.


Dipetik dan adaptasi dari sebuah hasil tulisan tokoh wartawan veteran Datuk A Kadir Jasin, seperti hantaran di Facebook beliau hari ini, Isnin 29 Jun 2026.

End©Permadu


Kunjungi blog Permadu Malaysia di permadumalaysia.blogspot.com

Oleh Fauzi Kadir
Ketua Pengarang

Penolong Pengarang
Jamaliah Mohd Salleh




Suntingan terakhir dan dibawa kepada anda oleh
Fauzi Kadir KETUA PENGARANG

© 2026 Permadu Malaysia 
Semua Hak Cipta Terpelihara
E-mel: permadu@gmail.com

DILULUSKAN UNTUK SIARAN OLEH LEMBAGA SIDANG PENGARANG 

Akaun bank rasmi dan diberi kuasa bagi pihak Permadu Malaysia
Fauzi Bin Abd... 7600650948 CIMB Bank

Mengunjungi Permadu Malaysia adalah sentiasa percuma dan kami adalah tidak berobjektifkan keuntungan. Kami berharap anda bergembira dan berpuas hati dengan setiap persembahan dari kami.

Jika anda bermurah hati untuk menyokong operasi dan kegiatan amal jariah berterusan kami kepada mereka yang kurang bernasib baik, kami mengalu-alukan sebarang sumbangan seikhlas hati dari mana-mana individu atau organisasi. 

Hubungi permadu@gmail.com untuk keterangan lanjut. Ianya bersifat sukarela tanpa sebarang komitmen.

Comments

Post a Comment

POPULAR POSTS from Permadu Malaysia

MAHATHIR MAY REJOIN UMNO

Image
What Mahathir expected did not happen Initially, Mahathir Mohamad thought his party – PPBM (Bersatu) – could  morph  into a new version of UMNO. After all, it was him who brilliantly destroyed the original UMNO in 1988 and created “UMNO Baru” (the current UMNO version 2.0). But unlike in 1988, Mr. Mahathir had quit UMNO to form PPBM on 8 September 2016, and was no longer in charge of UMNO. UMNO won four times higher than Bersatu in GE14 Hence, after he leveraged on opposition Pakatan Harapan and stunningly defeated the scandal-plagued Najib government, his first priority was  recruiting  UMNO MPs to join his party. UMNO, although lost miserably, still won 54 parliamentary seats in the May 2018 General Election – more than 4 times the number of seats Mahathir’s party managed to capture. PPBM the worst among four strategic parties Mahathir’s party won  only 13 seats  out of the 52 Parliamentary seats it contested in the 2018 poll. That’s ...
Read more

Ketua Pemuda UMNO ajak Ahli MKT UMNO bertumbuk

Image
Dua tokoh parti politik yang sukar dipisahkan dari imej rasuah , semakin panas bertelagah Rentak Madani 🎵 Akhbar Sinar Harian melaporkan semalam bahawa Ketua Pemuda UMNO, Datuk Dr Muhamad Akmal Saleh mencabar Ahli Majlis Kerja Tertinggi (MKT) UMNO,  Datuk Lokman Noor Adam  supaya berdepan dengannya sama ada di mahkamah ataupun di gelanggang, berikutan tuduhan kononnya beliau mempunyai agenda tersembunyi untuk menaikkan  Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein  sebagai Perdana Menteri. Amaran itu dibuat selepas Lokman secara terbuka menggelar beliau sebagai ‘Ketua Pemuda H20’ dalam satu wawancara bersama sebuah platform baru-baru ini. Menurut Muhamad Akmal, Lokman kini mempunyai dua pilihan, sama ada menjawab saman beliau di mahkamah ataupun bertemu di gelanggang bagi menyelesaikan isu berkenaan. “Kamu ada dua pilihan. Pilihan pertama, kita lawan di mahkamah. Aku saman kamu," cabar Akmal. Lokman berpendapat, Ahli Dewan Undangan Negeri (ADUN) Merlimau itu menggunakan kelebih...
Read more

Isu Stadium Shah Alam, suami Hannah Yeoh dapat kontrak, parkir, terkini babi — faktor penyumbang PH kalah di PRN akan datang

Image
Lebih kurang UMNO juga Satu demi satu isu mencurigakan berlaku di Selangor. Pada mulanya Pakatan Harapan (PH) disangka akan membuat pembaharuan. Rupanya lebih kurang UMNO juga. Jika UMNO sudah dihukum rakyat di Selangor, maka sudah tiba giliran PH pula. Seperti tajuk di atas, isu Stadium Shah Alam, suami Menteri DAP Puan Hannah Yeoh dapat kontrak, kontroversi pemilik syarikat parkir, dan terkini kontroversi ladang babi dijangka akan menjadi faktor penyumbang PH kalah di PRN akan datang. Semalam,  MalaysiaGazette melaporkan b ekas Ketua Penerangan UMNO Selangor Encik Isham Jalil menyarankan Menteri Besar Selangor, para Exco Kerajaan Negeri dan penyokongnya supaya berpindah ke Bukit Tagar, kawasan berdekatan ladang babi yang menimbulkan kontroversi. Dengan tindakan berkenaan, barulah kepimpinan Selangor akan memahami bantahan  penduduk  Selangor terhadap cadangan untuk menjadikan negeri berkenaan sebagai pengeksport babi terbesar ke Singapura. “ Selepas   itu   b...
Read more

OVERCONCENTRATION OF A MALAY POPULATION MAKES SHAH ALAM A GHOST CITY, SAYS ANALYST

Image
Shah Alam City YESTERDAY, FMT reported that the capital city of Selangor had become very quiet, slow and almost no business, many buildings unoccupied, which one of them only utilised by less than ten staff of a company. Some factories closed down, businesses from petty traders to big timers closed shops for the past six months and so on. Even foreign business people from Indonesia and Pakistan decided to go back to their respective countries or moved to other places. A prominent business analyst, in his blog wrote that one of the reasons for the downfall of Shah Alam was the government's policy in overconcentrating a Malay population in the said city. Syed Albar Ali also suggested other reasons as well. Below is the write-up as published by OutSyed The Box on 30 January 2020. Syed Akbar Ali's comments :   Just the other day Forest City announced 400 staff were being let go.  Could it be because things are not so great anymore? D...
Read more

Syukri Razab Presiden Parti Bersama Malaysia

Image
Dalam satu perkembangan yang agak memeranjatkan, teraju utama Parti Bersama Malaysia (Bersama) Datuk Seri Rafizi Ramli mengesahkan Encik Syukri Razab ( gambar , atas sekali ) adalah presiden parti itu dan namanya berdaftar dengan Pendaftar Pertubuhan (RoS - Registrar of Society) Malaysia. Beliau merupakan bekas pegawai khas kepada Rafizi Ramli. Selepas pengambilalihan parti tersebut, Rafizi dan Encik Nik Nazmi Nik Ahmad mengambil alih peranan sebagai peneraju utama parti, namun Syukri Razab kekal memegang jawatan Presiden Parti Bersama. Rafizi menjelaskan sedikit sebanyak mengenai latar belakang Syukri dalam satu persembahan video hari ini. End © Permadu Kunjungi blog Permadu Malaysia di permadumalaysia.blogspot.com Oleh Fauzi Kadir Ketua Pengarang Penolong Pengarang Nazura Othman Suntingan terakhir dan dibawa kepada anda oleh Fauzi Kadir KETUA PENGARANG © 2026 Permadu Malaysia Semua Hak Cipta Terpelihara E-mel: permadu@gmail.com DILULUSKAN UNTUK SIARAN OLEH LEMBAGA SIDANG PENGARANG ...
Read more

LOKMAN TELLS AG: CHARGE MEN IN SEX VIDEO OR FACE OUR LAWSUIT

Image
POLITICIANS IN MALAYSIA Latest development on alleged Azmin's sex video Lokman Noor Adam speaking to reporters before entering federal police headquarters on Tuesday 3 September 2019 UMNO Supreme Council member Lokman Noor Adam issued an ultimatum to Attorney-General Tommy Thomas yesterday, Tuesday 3 September 2019, demanding the government charge the two men caught on video with unnatural sex or be taken to court for failure to prosecute, reported  Malay Mail . Tommy Thomas, Attorney General Lokman insisted he has irrefutable proof Lokman, who was called to Bukit Aman for questioning on the sex allegations insisted that he has irrefutable proof for action to be taken against Economic Affairs Minister Mohamed Azmin Ali and former Santubong PKR Youth chief Haziq Abdullah Abdul Aziz - said to be the two men in the sex video. "With the evidence we obtained from the UK-based firm, I hope the police can submit the investigation paper to AG to charge Azmin ...
Read more

Bersama expected to win half of PKR, DAP and Amanah's existing parliamentary and state seats in Johor

Image
Analysts say Johor state elections will be PH Vs BN — but they overlook Bersama PAS and Bersatu are expected to face a rough ride in the upcoming Johor state election, as both parties look set to go their own way while their potential allies appear lacklustre. Though both parties have announced efforts to form new political configurations amid Perikatan Nasional’s ongoing crisis, news portal FMT spoke to Dr Mazlan Ali of Universiti Teknologi Malaysia and he said these new alliances would not be earth-shattering in Johor. Mazlan said both parties had limited options for allies, having been linked to the same entities such as Berjasa, Pejuang, Putra, and Muda. He added that these small parties command little influence and are incapable of taking on Barisan Nasional or Pakatan Harapan. “I don’t see any real competition in Johor. It will be more like BN against PH, as PAS and Bersatu have been weakened by their division. “Although these small parties will want to help them, they will not ...
Read more

It happens everywhere—Not only in our country

Image
THE WOLF NEVER WANTED THE ARGUMENT A Wolf And A Lamb Meet At A Stream. Not As Enemies. As Neighbors Sharing Water. The Wolf Is Higher Up The Brook. The Water Runs From Him To Her. Still, He Accuses. “You Muddy My Water.” The Lamb Answers Gently. She Is Correct. Physics Is On Her Side. The Water Cannot Flow Upward. The Accusation Collapses Instantly. So The Wolf Replaces It. “I Heard You Spoke Ill Of Me Last Year.” The Lamb Explains Again. She Is Six Months Old. She Did Not Exist Last Year. Another Charge Fails. So The Wolf Stops Pretending To Care About Truth. “If It Was Not You, It Was Your Father.” And With That, The Argument Ends. The Teeth Appear. The Lamb Is Eaten. This Story Is Not About Cruelty. It Is About Power. The Wolf Never Wanted An Explanation. He Wanted A Justification. Each Accusation Was Not A Question But A Stepping Stone Toward An Outcome Already Decided. This Is The Pattern Predators Follow: They Accuse First. Then Adjust The Accusation Until Resistance Looks Like G...
Read more

Pahang DAP exco man awarded RM1.2mil damages over libel

Image
Lawyer Encik Ng Yih Miin (left) said the court found that Pahang executive councillor Encik Sim Chon Siang (right) had not misused funds related to Malaysians trafficked to Cambodia and Myanmar, as alleged. Pahang executive councillor Encik Sim Chon Siang has won a defamation suit against social media influencer Encik Tony Looi, with the High Court in Kuala Lumpur awarding Sim a total of RM1.2 million in damages. As reported by FMT , lawyer Encik Ng Yih Miin said the court ordered general and aggravated damages against Looi, the defendant, on 9 April 2026. “The defendant is to pay RM800,000 in general damages and RM400,000 in aggravated damages, together with interest at 5% per annum from the date of judgment until full settlement, as well as RM10,000 in costs,” Ng said at a press conference yesterday. He said the case stemmed from defamatory statements made in videos published on Facebook, which alleged misconduct by Sim in relation to his efforts to rescue victims of human traffickin...
Read more

Will Bersama "bersama-sama" Bersatu?

Image
What I think about Rafizi’s new Party, BERSAMA By the way, that was me signing my application to join PPBM or Bersatu back in 2016. I was excited to welcome a new party that can reset Malaysia after Datuk Seri Mohd Najib Tun Abdul Razak’s 1MDB. I was probably as excited as some of you planning to join Datuk Seri Mohd Rafizi Ramli’s Bersama political party. My PPBM membership was 000068. Talk about being one of the first. Najib lost PRU14 in 2018 bringing the collapse of UMNO dominance since Merdeka.  Najib said UMNO would be dominant for 1000 years but in reality UMNO lasted just 61 years. Hubris was Najib’s downfall.  Tun M was at the helm and I was excited, finally we would see progress. I was wrong. The constant pressuring to let Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim become PM finally caused the coalition to collapse. Gentlemanly Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad resigned. People say Tun M is drunk for power. I often correct them that this old man resigned as Prime Minister twice. TWICE. What do ...
Read more