BN may be defeated in GE15

 You Can Win If You Want

FMT PICTURE: Ismail Sabri Yaakob 

A political analyst Dr Azmil Tayeb of Universiti Sains Malaysia was reported by FMT as saying that Barisan Nasional’s chances at the 15th general election will not be affected even if Pakatan Harapan and Perikatan Nasional fail to forge an alliance.

Rather, the coalition was less likely to win if the nationwide polls were delayed, he said. 

FMT PICTURE:
Mohd Najib Tun Abdul Razak 

He added the slim chance of PH and PN cooperating had no bearing on BN’s electoral prospects given that Datuk Seri Mohd Najib Tun Abdul Razak’s incarceration, BN chairman Datuk Seri Dr Ahmad Zahid Hamidi’s ongoing court case and the troubled RM9 billion littoral combat ship (LCS) project presented a bigger stumbling block for the coalition.

BERITA HARIAN PICTURE:
Dr Ahmad Zahid Hamidi 

“BN is quickly losing its advantage and momentum gained from recent state elections,” the news portal quoted Dr Azmil Tayeb as saying.

“Najib’s imprisonment, Zahid’s court cases and the LCS scandal are weakening the coalition’s support.”

Azmil was commenting on whether PH and PN’s failure to cooperate would give BN an advantage in GE15.

Yesterday, PKR deputy president Rafizi Ramli said PH would not cooperate with PN in GE15.

PN chairman Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin had said during the coalition’s convention on Saturday, August 27,⁸ that it was open to the idea of teaming up with other parties to face BN in GE15 as it would be difficult to defeat “the main enemy” in multi-cornered fights. 

Azmil said PN was likely to lose out more than PH if the two coalitions failed to cooperate, as PH had a solid base of supporters in urban and semi-urban areas while PN, namely Bersatu and PAS, had to face multi-cornered contests in Malay-majority areas against UMNO.

Universiti Malaysia Sabah (UMS) associate professor Anantha Raman Govindasamy contacted by the news portal said BN continued to have a slight edge over its rivals as seen in the recent state elections.

“PN and PH failed to galvanise the support of semi-rural and rural Malays, whose votes are crucial,” he said. “While PH can win in urban seats, it will face a difficult time competing against UMNO in semi rural and rural areas.”

Anantha added that BN, PH and PN all had their loyal supporters whose votes could be counted on, whether the election was held this year or next year. How each coalition sought to garner the support of new voters and fence sitters would ultimately decide the winners, he said. 

“While BN has a slight advantage now, things can change very quickly in an election.”

Prime Minister Datuk Seri Ismail Sabri Yaakob, who is an UMNO vice-president, has remained evasive on whether GE15 will be brought forward.

The election date had been widely speculated to be as early as November, fuelled by the government’s announcement that the 2023 budget would be tabled on October 7, three weeks earlier than previously scheduled. 

Parliament’s term ends next July and the general election must be held by September 16, 2023, but some UMNO leaders have pressed for it to be called this year following convincing BN victories in recent state elections.

The appearance of Malaysian football legendary superstar Dato' Dollah Salleh is for illustration purpose only.

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